At this point in the process, you’ve compiled a list of your potential locations. Whether or not you select 5 locations, 7 locations or 10 locations or another number is up to you. It largely depends on what your numbers tell you and how much you want to be able to grow.
With that information in hand, you want to take the next step in the process: putting together a set of projections. You’ve heard that anyone who enters into a new business or new line within an existing business puts together a business plan before investing any material sums in that business. When you go from an 1-2 office practice to a practice with double-digit locations, you are entering into a new business. Heck, in life, you wouldn’t make a major move without a plan. Here is your chance. The business plan usually consists of written descriptions and a financial projection. Here, we’ll focus on the projection. Your projections do 2 things for you:
First, putting together projections allow you to think through the different issues that will affect your business. You’ll be able to consider what you expect patient volume to be, what will total advertising spending be for the whole practice, how many total employees will you need (we’ll get into all these topics as the roadmap progresses). Once you’ve thought through everything and done your projections, you can decide if your plan makes sense. If your projections tell you that you need to invest $4 million to earn an additional $150,000 per year, the reward may not justify the risk and effort. Second, if you need financing at any point in the process, a business plan and projections are required.
Keep in mind that the projections are simply your best estimate. Things almost never work out exactly as anticipated, but at least you have a plan going into it. If and when events change, you can either revise the model or change your decision to fit the model you set up.
Despite what you may be told, outside of needing to include the basic financial statements – balance sheet and income statement-- there is no magic as far as format or time required for a projection. Our initial projections were compiled during a weekend sequester at a Ramada Inn in Gulfport, MS. We prefer the same income statement format as we do for our analysis of results. Link to that is
here. In this case, the numbers are simply projected instead of historical.
For us, the most challenging part of constructing a projected income statement is coming up with a projected revenue number, also known as the top line. Once you have that done, all of the other pieces of the puzzle fall into place. I’d strongly suggest that you use a spreadsheet application like Excel to prepare this because once you do the first set of projections, you will probably want to revise your assumptions, especially if your initial assumptions result in projections that do not make sense.